TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the New York Knicks and Memphis Grizzlies scheduled for April 1 at 8:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Knicks" or "Grizzlies" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Memphis wins OR New York wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets correctly resolve based on the actual game outcome (Knicks win, Grizzlies win, or tied/canceled scenarios).Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. All player prop and spread markets on Polymarket are resolvable and follow standard NBA settlement logic. If you hold Kalshi YES, you have guaranteed profit but zero information value. If you hold Kalshi NO, you have guaranteed loss.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1–2) states 'If Memphis wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If New York wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve YES. This makes the market unresolvable and violates basic binary market structure. Key quote: 'If Memphis wins the New York at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York wins the New York at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard NBA settlement: Polymarket's moneyline market (item 2) correctly resolves to 'Knicks' if Knicks win, 'Grizzlies' if Grizzlies win, and 50-50 if canceled. All prop markets (items 4–80) use official NBA box scores as the resolution source and include standard postponement/cancellation clauses. Key quote: 'If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to Knicks. If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to Grizzlies. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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