TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen
kalshi
polymarket

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Volume:
$36,199

Bayern Munich

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 6, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,967
N/A
N/A
$18,569
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,232
N/A
N/A
$9,309
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball matchup between KK Crvena Zvezda (Belgrade) and FC Bayern Munchen scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST/ET. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory: it specifies that both a Crvena Zvezda win AND a Bayern Munich win resolve to Yes, which violates binary market logic and makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses correct winner-based resolution.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The logical flaw means there is no way to lose—both outcomes map to Yes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which properly resolves to the winning team's name or 50-50 in case of cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Specifies Yes resolution for both possible game outcomes (either team winning). This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between correct and incorrect predictions. Quote: Both 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Bayern Munich wins...resolves to Yes' are stated.
  • Polymarket: Uses proper binary resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (either 'KK Crvena Zvezda' or 'FC Bayern Munchen'). Includes contingencies for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to KK Crvena Zvezda. If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to FC Bayern Munchen.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.