TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball matchup between KK Crvena Zvezda (Belgrade) and FC Bayern Munchen scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST/ET. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory: it specifies that both a Crvena Zvezda win AND a Bayern Munich win resolve to Yes, which violates binary market logic and makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses correct winner-based resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The logical flaw means there is no way to lose—both outcomes map to Yes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which properly resolves to the winning team's name or 50-50 in case of cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Specifies Yes resolution for both possible game outcomes (either team winning). This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between correct and incorrect predictions. Quote: Both 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Bayern Munich wins...resolves to Yes' are stated.Polymarket:
Uses proper binary resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team (either 'KK Crvena Zvezda' or 'FC Bayern Munchen'). Includes contingencies for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to KK Crvena Zvezda. If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to FC Bayern Munchen.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.