TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 24, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Los Angeles Kings will face the Calgary Flames in an NHL regular season game. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes head-to-head winner markets and multiple total goals over/under thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under markets. Kalshi markets resolve YES if the condition is met (e.g., 'over 7.5' means 8+ goals), while Polymarket markets resolve 'Over' if the combined score meets or exceeds a threshold that is one goal higher than the stated line (e.g., 'O/U 6.5' resolves Over at 7+ goals, 'O/U 7.5' resolves Over at 8+ goals).Hero Tip:
If you trade the same over/under line on both platforms, verify the exact goal threshold before settling. For example, Kalshi's 'over 6.5' and Polymarket's 'O/U 6.5' both resolve at 7+ goals, but Kalshi's 'over 7.5' resolves at 8+ while Polymarket's 'O/U 7.5' also resolves at 8+. The platforms align on final thresholds but use different language conventions, so confirm the actual goal count required for each platform's payout.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi uses 'over X.5' language where the market resolves YES if the combined goals exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 7.5' means 8 or more goals). Kalshi offers eight separate over/under markets at thresholds 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5, each with identical resolution logic: 'If over [threshold] total combined goals are scored... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket uses 'O/U X.5' language where the market resolves 'Over' if the combined goals meet or exceed a threshold one goal higher than the stated line (e.g., 'O/U 6.5' resolves Over at 7+ goals, 'O/U 7.5' resolves Over at 8+ goals). Polymarket offers five separate markets: O/U 4.5 (Over at 5+), O/U 5.5 (Over at 6+), O/U 6.5 (Over at 7+), O/U 7.5 (Over at 8+), plus a moneyline (Kings vs. Flames winner) and a spread (Kings -1.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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