This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) regular season game between Spartak Moscow and CSKA Moscow scheduled for March 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT. The markets resolve based on which team wins the match, including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's binary structure is logically incoherent: both possible match outcomes (CSKA win or Spartak win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses a categorical winner-based resolution with explicit edge-case handling.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which resolves to the actual winning team name and includes clear rules for postponement (market stays open) and full cancellation (50-50 split).
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both CSKA Moscow victory and Spartak Moscow victory resolve to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction: there is no scenario that resolves to No. Quote: 'If CSKA Moscow wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Spartak Moscow wins... resolves to Yes'.
Polymarket:
Categorical resolution to team name (Spartak Moscow or CSKA Moscow). Includes explicit contingency rules: postponement keeps market open until completion; full cancellation resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Spartak Moscow win, the market will resolve to Spartak Moscow. If CSKA Moscow win, the market will resolve to CSKA Moscow.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
p
k
p
World Cup Winner
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?17%
p
l
p
2026 NBA Champion
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?63%
p
English Premier League Winner
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?100%
k
Finals Series Winner: New York vs San Antonio
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?63%
p
l
p
k
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Will Logan Stankoven record the most goals in the Stanley Cup Finals® of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?97%
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.