TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Mar 27, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the winner of the KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) regular season game between Salavat Yulaev Ufa and Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg scheduled for March 27, 2026. The winner is determined by the final score including overtime and shootout results, with one goal added to the winning team's score if a shootout occurs.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and unresolvable. Kalshi states the market resolves to Yes if EITHER Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins OR Salavat Yulaev UFA wins, meaning the market resolves Yes for every possible outcome (excluding only cancellation/postponement). Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on which team wins. This makes Kalshi's market logically contradictory and incapable of meaningful settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria guarantee a Yes outcome regardless of match result, making it unsuitable for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket, which has standard binary resolution logic where exactly one team's victory determines the outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes—either 'Salavat Yulaev Ufa' if they win, or 'Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg' if they win. The market is binary and resolvable. 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'Kalshi:
Outlier (broken logic): Kalshi's resolution criteria state 'If Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Salavat Yulaev UFA wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical contradiction where every match outcome triggers a Yes resolution, rendering the market unresolvable and meaningless.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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