TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional KHL (Kontinental Hockey League) ice hockey match between HC Sochi and Amur Khabarovsk scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Amur Khabarovsk win and HC Sochi win) resolve to the same outcome (Yes), rendering the market non-functional as a prediction instrument. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi for this event. The market definition is logically broken - it cannot differentiate between the two teams winning. Only Polymarket provides a valid, resolvable prediction market for this KHL matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. HC Sochi victory resolves to HC Sochi, Amur Khabarovsk victory resolves to Amur Khabarovsk. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) explicitly. Resolution includes overtime and shootout goals.Kalshi:
Logically incoherent market definition. Both possible game outcomes resolve identically to Yes: If Amur Khabarovsk wins = Yes, AND If HC Sochi wins = Yes. This creates a tautology with no discriminative power, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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