A college basketball game between the Kentucky Wildcats and South Carolina Gamecocks scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-6.5, -7.5), and total points over/under at multiple lines (149.5, 150.5, 151.5).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes for both Kentucky victory AND South Carolina victory, making the market mathematically unresolvable as a binary outcome.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until clarification is obtained. The Polymarket suite is internally consistent and resolvable. Request explicit confirmation from Kalshi whether the market should resolve Yes only for one team, or if it is intended to resolve Yes whenever the game is completed regardless of winner.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to Kentucky Wildcats if Kentucky wins, or South Carolina Gamecocks if South Carolina wins. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined final score. All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the Kentucky Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Kentucky Wildcats. If the South Carolina Gamecocks win, the market will resolve to South Carolina Gamecocks.'
Kalshi:
Market resolves to Yes if Kentucky wins the game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, AND also resolves to Yes if South Carolina wins. This creates a tautology where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger the same resolution state. Key quote: 'If Kentucky wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
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