TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Kent State Golden Flashes and Ball State Cardinals scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-8.5 and -7.5), and total points (Over/Under 143.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline contains a logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve Yes). Polymarket spreads use two different thresholds (-8.5 and -7.5), creating SKU fragmentation. Cancellation protocol differs between platforms.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi moneyline as unresolvable due to logical error. On Polymarket, the -8.5 and -7.5 spreads are separate markets with different win thresholds—a Kent State 8-point victory resolves differently on each. Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule provides clarity; Kalshi does not address cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both Ball State and Kent State wins resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No cancellation protocol specified. Quote: 'If Ball St. wins...resolves to Yes. If Kent St. wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three distinct markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to team name; (2) Spread -8.5 requires 9+ point win; (3) Spread -7.5 requires 8+ point win; (4) Total 143.5 Over/Under; all include postponement hold and 50-50 cancellation rule. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Kent State Golden Flashes if Kent State wins by 9 or more points. Otherwise, Ball State Cardinals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.