This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Kennesaw State Owls and UTEP Miners scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the outcome of this single game.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (UTEP win and Kennesaw win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), leaving no valid resolution path for a No outcome and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Polymarket is the only tradeable market here with coherent logic. Kalshi's market should be considered broken until the platform clarifies what differentiates a Yes from a No resolution. Do not risk capital on Kalshi until this is resolved.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to 'Kennesaw State Owls' if they win, 'UTEP Miners' if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Kalshi:
Contradictory Yes/No logic. Both possible outcomes map to Yes: 'If UTEP wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kennesaw St. wins...resolves to Yes.' No resolution path exists for a No outcome, making the market logically impossible to settle correctly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.