TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional J1 League soccer match between Kashima Antlers and Kawasaki Frontale scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Kawasaki win, Kashima win, draw) and Kalshi (a single catch-all market covering all three outcomes). Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent. A single market cannot resolve to Yes under three mutually exclusive conditions (Kashima win, Tie, Frontale win). Only one outcome will occur, making two of the three stated resolution paths impossible.Hero Tip:
Polymarket offers three separate, independently resolvable binary markets—this is standard and safe. Kalshi's single market with three mutually exclusive Yes-resolution conditions is fundamentally unresolvable as described. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading: are these actually three separate markets, or is the resolution logic incorrect?Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets, each with independent Yes/No resolution. Kawasaki win market resolves Yes if Kawasaki wins, No otherwise. Kashima win market resolves Yes if Kashima wins, No otherwise. Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise. Cancellation with no makeup: Kawasaki and Kashima resolve No, Draw resolves Yes. Source: official J-League statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus.Kalshi:
Single market with three stated resolution conditions: 'If Kashima wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Frontale wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility—only one outcome can occur per match, so only one condition can be satisfied. Market structure is incoherent.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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