TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Kansas State Wildcats and Kansas Jayhawks scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and total points outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket and all other markets use standard, consistent binary or threshold-based logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline until clarification is issued by the platform. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) and Kalshi's spread/total markets use sound resolution logic. Focus trading activity on Polymarket or wait for Kalshi issuer statement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Kansas St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kansas wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot both be Yes in a binary market. This is a critical logical error. Spread and total markets on Kalshi are not provided but would likely follow standard logic.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Kansas State Wildcats' if Kansas State wins, or 'Kansas Jayhawks' if Kansas wins - standard categorical outcome. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (17+ or 18+ point wins for Kansas Jayhawks). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (157+, 156+, or 158+ points). All logic is clear and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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