TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Kansas State Wildcats and Iowa State Cyclones scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Iowa St. win and Kansas St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until the platform clarifies the actual resolution mechanism. The statement that both teams winning both resolve to Yes is logically impossible. Polymarket's market is resolvable and uses standard categorical logic. Consider trading only on Polymarket until Kalshi corrects its terms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: states both Iowa St. win and Kansas St. win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Iowa St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kansas St. wins...resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution: market resolves to winner name. Kansas State win = 'Kansas State Wildcats', Iowa State win = 'Iowa State Cyclones'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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