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Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
kalshi
polymarket

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

Volume:
$5,929,870

Arizona St.

 - Kalshi

Arizona St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arizona St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,887,088
N/A
N/A
$993,967
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,494,217
N/A
N/A
$2,472,903
Settled
No
polymarket

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507,613
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 151.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils men's college basketball game scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-5.5 and -6.5), and total points (O/U 151.5) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Kansas win and Arizona State win are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. All Polymarket markets consistently use final score including overtime, with 50-50 resolution only if game is canceled with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market: 'If Arizona St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kansas wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No resolution path for No outcome exists.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline: Resolves to 'Kansas Jayhawks' if Kansas wins, 'Arizona State Sun Devils' if ASU wins. Spread (-5.5): Kansas wins if margin is 6+, otherwise ASU. Spread (-6.5): Kansas wins if margin is 7+, otherwise ASU. Total (151.5): Over if combined score is 152+, Under if less. All use final score including overtime; 50-50 only if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.