TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils men's college basketball game scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-5.5 and -6.5), and total points (O/U 151.5) outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Kansas win and Arizona State win are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until clarification is provided. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence. All Polymarket markets consistently use final score including overtime, with 50-50 resolution only if game is canceled with no makeup.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market: 'If Arizona St. wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kansas wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No resolution path for No outcome exists.Polymarket:
Moneyline: Resolves to 'Kansas Jayhawks' if Kansas wins, 'Arizona State Sun Devils' if ASU wins. Spread (-5.5): Kansas wins if margin is 6+, otherwise ASU. Spread (-6.5): Kansas wins if margin is 7+, otherwise ASU. Total (151.5): Over if combined score is 152+, Under if less. All use final score including overtime; 50-50 only if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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