TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A match scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets track whether Juventus leads, Sassuolo leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends on the official halftime scoreline only, not the final match result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical impossibility: three mutually exclusive outcomes each resolve to Yes independently, violating basic settlement logic. Polymarket uses a standard three-way binary structure with no contradiction.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is three separate binary markets or a single categorical market. Polymarket's structure is resolvable and consistent.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three outcomes presented as independent Yes resolutions. All three mutually exclusive halftime results (Sassuolo win, Juventus win, Tie) are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where contradictory outcomes cannot both be true. This suggests either a documentation error or a misunderstanding of the market structure.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes or No based on a single halftime outcome. Juventus leading resolves Yes only if Juventus leads; Sassuolo leading resolves Yes only if Sassuolo leads; Draw resolves Yes only if tied. Exactly one market resolves Yes, the other two resolve No. Structure is logically consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.