TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Monday, April 6, 2026 between Juventus FC and Genoa CFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Genoa win, Draw, Juventus win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines a single market that resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Tie, Juventus win, or Genoa win), making Kalshi's market logically unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as presented—it will resolve YES regardless of match outcome, rendering it worthless as a prediction instrument. Polymarket's three separate markets are the only coherent way to express the three mutually exclusive outcomes. If you hold Kalshi, seek clarification from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three separate binary markets, each covering one mutually exclusive outcome (Genoa win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Juventus win YES/NO). Exactly one market will resolve YES and two will resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Genoa CFC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for Draw and Juventus).Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Juventus wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Genoa wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction—all three mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES, making the market always resolve YES regardless of the actual match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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