TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NHL game between the Winnipeg Jets and Columbus Blue Jackets scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner) and four total goals over/under variants (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Resolution is based on final official score including overtime and shootouts, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure creates a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (CBJ win OR WPG win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Jets resolve to 'Jets', Blue Jackets resolve to 'Blue Jackets') with proper handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade on Kalshi's Jets vs. Blue Jackets market — it contains a fatal logical flaw where every possible game outcome triggers a YES resolution, rendering it unresolvable and unhedgeable. Trade only on Polymarket's equivalent markets, which use sound binary and over/under logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both possible game outcomes (CBJ Blue Jackets wins OR WPG Jets wins) are mapped to YES resolution, creating a logical impossibility. The market states 'If CBJ Blue Jackets wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If WPG Jets wins...then the market resolves to Yes', meaning every realistic scenario produces YES with no NO outcome possible.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the winner market as a proper categorical outcome where 'If the Jets win, the market will resolve to Jets' and 'If the Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to Blue Jackets', creating mutually exclusive resolution paths. Polymarket also provides clear edge-case handling: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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