TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Utah Jazz and New Orleans Pelicans scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (New Orleans wins OR Utah wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures its markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Jazz vs. Pelicans, Over/Under, Spread outcomes).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market — it contains a fatal logical error where both teams winning triggers a YES resolution. All Polymarket markets are resolvable and follow standard NBA settlement conventions. Focus trading activity on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw. The market states 'If New Orleans wins the Utah at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Utah wins the Utah at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to determine a NO outcome and rendering the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard NBA settlement logic: Provides 47 properly structured markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The core moneyline market resolves to 'Jazz' if Jazz win or 'Pelicans' if Pelicans win, with clear tie-breaking rules (50-50 split if halftime tied, Jazz wins if full game tied). All Over/Under, Spread, and player prop markets use consistent NBA box score sources and standard threshold logic (e.g., 'more than X.X' for Over, 'X.X or fewer' for Under).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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