TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina
polymarket
kalshi

Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina

Volume:
$418,775

Fiorentina

 - Kalshi

Fiorentina - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fiorentina

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$194,346
0%
0%
$115,710
N/A
polymarket

ACF Fiorentina

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,783
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Jagiellonia Białystok vs. ACF Fiorentina)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$111,970
$13,708
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Jagiellonia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,737
0%
0%
$56,809
N/A
polymarket

Jagiellonia Białystok

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$25,508
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,693
0%
0%
$9,065
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a UEFA Conference League match between Jagiellonia Białystok and ACF Fiorentina scheduled for February 19, 2026. Three binary prediction markets track the outcome: Jagiellonia win, Fiorentina win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves YES on game cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi's tie market lacks a cancellation clause and would likely resolve differently. This creates conflicting settlement outcomes for the same underlying event.Hero tip: Traders should verify the official UEFA status before the scheduled date. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket draw backers win automatically, but Kalshi tie backers face ambiguous resolution. Request clarification from Kalshi support on their cancellation protocol for this market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Jagiellonia win (YES if Jagiellonia wins, NO otherwise), Fiorentina win (YES if Fiorentina wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Jagiellonia and Fiorentina to NO, but Draw to YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets that each resolve YES if their specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (Tie, Jagiellonia win, Fiorentina win). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implies cancellation would prevent normal resolution or default to NO. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.