TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Conference League match between Jagiellonia Białystok and ACF Fiorentina scheduled for February 19, 2026. Three binary prediction markets track the outcome: Jagiellonia win, Fiorentina win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves YES on game cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi's tie market lacks a cancellation clause and would likely resolve differently. This creates conflicting settlement outcomes for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Traders should verify the official UEFA status before the scheduled date. If cancellation occurs with no makeup game, Polymarket draw backers win automatically, but Kalshi tie backers face ambiguous resolution. Request clarification from Kalshi support on their cancellation protocol for this market.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Jagiellonia win (YES if Jagiellonia wins, NO otherwise), Fiorentina win (YES if Fiorentina wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves Jagiellonia and Fiorentina to NO, but Draw to YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets that each resolve YES if their specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (Tie, Jagiellonia win, Fiorentina win). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implies cancellation would prevent normal resolution or default to NO. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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