TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between IU Indy Jaguars and Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-7.5, -6.5, -5.5), and total points over/under at two lines (159.5, 160.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Purdue Fort Wayne win and IU Indy win) are mapped to Yes, with no defined No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It is logically broken. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, which cleanly resolves to one of two categorical outcomes. All spread and total markets on both platforms use consistent threshold logic and are safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market: 'If Purdue Fort Wayne wins the game, then resolves to Yes. If IU Indy wins the game, then resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes; no No resolution path exists. This is a logical contradiction that prevents settlement.Polymarket:
Moneyline market: 'If IU Indy wins, resolves to IU Indy Jaguars. If Purdue Fort Wayne wins, resolves to Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons.' Clean categorical resolution with no ambiguity. Spread markets (-7.5, -6.5, -5.5) and total markets (O/U 159.5, O/U 160.5) all use standard threshold logic with clear Yes/No or categorical outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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