TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between IU Indy Jaguars and Milwaukee Panthers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final game outcome, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Milwaukee win and IU Indy win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market in its current form. The contradiction makes it impossible to determine a unique resolution outcome. Polymarket's binary structure is sound and should be preferred. Request Kalshi clarify whether one outcome should resolve to No, or if the market specification is incomplete.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary structure: IU Indy win resolves to 'IU Indy Jaguars', Milwaukee win resolves to 'Milwaukee Panthers'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. This is a standard winner-take-all sports market.Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Milwaukee wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If IU Indy wins...resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to identical resolution value, creating logical impossibility. No specification for postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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