TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Independiente Santa Fe vs. Independiente Medellín
polymarket
kalshi

Independiente Santa Fe vs. Independiente Medellín

Volume:
$415,185

Independ. Santa Fe

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 23, 8:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Independ. Santa Fe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,488
N/A
N/A
$54,365
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,633
N/A
N/A
$58,288
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Independiente Santa Fe vs. Independiente Medellín)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ind. Medellin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,970
N/A
N/A
$47,731
Settled
No
polymarket

Independiente Medellín

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Monday, March 23, 2026 between Independiente Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket structures three separate binary markets (Santa Fe win, Draw, Medellín win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi presents a single three-outcome market where all three outcomes resolve YES simultaneously. This creates a logical contradiction: under Kalshi's rules, every possible match result triggers YES on all three markets, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive instrument.Hero tip: Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, you are betting on one of three mutually exclusive outcomes. On Kalshi, the market structure guarantees YES regardless of the match result, which violates basic prediction market logic. Clarify with Kalshi whether this is a display error or intentional before placing trades.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket creates three separate binary markets where exactly one outcome (Santa Fe win, Draw, or Medellín win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent resolution logic tied to the match result: 'If Independiente Santa Fe wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This is standard mutually-exclusive sports betting structure.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes' for Santa Fe win, Tie, and Medellín win respectively. This means all three outcomes trigger YES on the same market, creating a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve YES regardless of the match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.