TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Monday, March 23, 2026 between Independiente Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three separate binary markets (Santa Fe win, Draw, Medellín win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi presents a single three-outcome market where all three outcomes resolve YES simultaneously. This creates a logical contradiction: under Kalshi's rules, every possible match result triggers YES on all three markets, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, you are betting on one of three mutually exclusive outcomes. On Kalshi, the market structure guarantees YES regardless of the match result, which violates basic prediction market logic. Clarify with Kalshi whether this is a display error or intentional before placing trades.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket creates three separate binary markets where exactly one outcome (Santa Fe win, Draw, or Medellín win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent resolution logic tied to the match result: 'If Independiente Santa Fe wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This is standard mutually-exclusive sports betting structure.Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions, each stating 'then the market resolves to Yes' for Santa Fe win, Tie, and Medellín win respectively. This means all three outcomes trigger YES on the same market, creating a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve YES regardless of the match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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