TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Thursday, April 9, 2026 between Independiente Santa Fe and CA Peñarol.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 9, 2026, with the same primary source (CONMEBOL/governing body official statistics) and identical scope covering only regular play.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from CONMEBOL Libertadores or the governing body/event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves YES if Independiente Santa Fe wins (Polymarket and Kalshi both confirm this outcome).
- Market resolves YES if CA Peñarol wins (Polymarket and Kalshi both confirm this outcome).
- Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw (Polymarket and Kalshi both confirm this outcome).
- Exactly ONE of the three outcome markets (Santa Fe win, Peñarol win, or draw) will resolve YES.
- Resolution scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's outcome is determined by the final result if rescheduled, or the markets remain unresolved if permanently canceled.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule) while the win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario is not explicitly addressed and may require administrative determination.
- Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official CONMEBOL statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the fallback source for both platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by CONMEBOL or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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