TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Independiente Medellín and América de Cali will compete in a Colombian football match scheduled for March 30, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with three possible results: a win for Medellín, a win for Cali, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome options (Ind. Medellin wins, Tie, America Cali wins) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses standard binary markets where exactly one outcome resolves Yes per market, aligned with industry convention.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution logic is broken—every possible match outcome triggers Yes across all three markets simultaneously, rendering them unresolvable and unsuitable for prediction. Stick to Polymarket for reliable settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market design: three separate binary markets (Medellin Win, Draw, Cali Win) where exactly one resolves Yes based on the 90-minute match outcome. Primary source is official DIMAYOR statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match. Quote: 'If Independiente Medellín wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier: three markets with identical resolution logic where every possible outcome (Medellin win, Tie, Cali win) resolves to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction—there is no scenario where any market resolves No. Quote: 'If Ind. Medellin wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If America Cali wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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