TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming K-League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Incheon United FC and Jeju SK FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory: all three outcome markets (Incheon win, Jeju win, Tie) resolve to YES independently, violating the mutual exclusivity requirement of a three-way match outcome. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive markets where exactly one resolves YES.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets as presented. The resolution logic is broken—all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Polymarket's three-market structure is the only logically sound approach for this event. Clarify with Kalshi before placing any bets.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive markets: (1) Incheon win resolves YES only if Incheon wins, NO otherwise; (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (3) Jeju win resolves YES only if Jeju wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Resolution source: official K League statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Kalshi:
Three independent markets, each with identical resolution logic: (1) 'If Incheon Utd wins...then resolves to Yes'; (2) 'If Jeju SK wins...then resolves to Yes'; (3) 'If Tie wins...then resolves to Yes'. This structure logically permits all three markets to resolve YES simultaneously, which is impossible for a single match outcome. No resolution source or timing guidance provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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