TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and UIC Flames scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 for both teams), and multiple over/under totals (138.5, 139.5, 140.5 points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (UIC win and Illinois St. win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market always-true and unresolvable. Polymarket and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard, consistent logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is fundamentally unresolvable due to tautological resolution logic. All spread and total markets across both platforms are logically sound and mutually consistent. Settle only against Polymarket moneyline or verified game outcome from NCAA official sources.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market resolves to Yes regardless of outcome. Both 'UIC wins' and 'Illinois St. wins' map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: 'If UIC wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Standard moneyline with mutually exclusive outcomes: Illinois State Redbirds or UIC Flames. Includes cancellation protocol (50-50 if no makeup game). Quote: 'If the Illinois State Redbirds win, the market will resolve to Illinois State Redbirds. If the UIC Flames win, the market will resolve to UIC Flames.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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