This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Illinois State Redbirds and South Dakota Coyotes scheduled for April 1, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Illinois State victory and South Dakota victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses a standard binary winner-take-all structure with clear edge case handling.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform clarifies whether South Dakota victory should resolve to No (not Yes). Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the authoritative version. Request official clarification from Kalshi before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all resolution. Illinois State win resolves to Illinois State Redbirds; South Dakota win resolves to South Dakota Coyotes. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
Kalshi:
Contradictory specification: states both Illinois State victory AND South Dakota victory resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where mutually exclusive outcomes cannot be distinguished at settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.