TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Illinois Fighting Illini and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Illinois win and Northwestern win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this contradiction is resolved. The market cannot function as documented. Polymarket offers clear, standard resolution logic and should be treated as the reliable reference. Request clarification from Kalshi support immediately.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Illinois victory resolves to Illinois Fighting Illini, Northwestern victory resolves to Northwestern Wildcats. Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, overtime included in final score.Kalshi:
Yes/No structure with logical error. States both Illinois win and Northwestern win resolve to Yes, creating an impossible condition where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes or settle accurately.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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