TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Illinois Fighting Illini and Houston Cougars on March 26 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets are logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if Illinois wins AND YES if Houston wins, creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve to YES. Polymarket correctly structures all markets with mutually exclusive outcomes (Illinois vs. Houston for moneyline; spread outcomes; over/under for totals). This makes Kalshi's core moneyline market fundamentally broken, while Polymarket's markets are resolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) — it contains a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible. All Polymarket markets (items 3-75) are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes. If you hold Kalshi exposure on this game, escalate to PredictionHero support immediately for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Illinois wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger YES. This makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Illinois wins the Illinois at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins the Illinois at Houston men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's moneyline market (item 1) correctly uses mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to Illinois Fighting Illini. If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars.' All spread and total markets (items 4-75) follow the same mutually exclusive resolution pattern. Quote: 'If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to Illinois Fighting Illini. If the Houston Cougars win, the market will resolve to Houston Cougars.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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