TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Idaho State Bengals and Sacramento State Hornets scheduled for March 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5 for each team), and total points over/under (159.5 and 160.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical flaw: both outcomes (Idaho St. win OR Sacramento St. win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable in practice. Polymarket's moneyline is standard and resolvable. Cancellation handling also differs slightly between platforms.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market due to its logical contradiction. Use Polymarket's moneyline for standard winner resolution. For spread and total markets, both platforms are consistent and safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: If Idaho St. wins, resolve Yes. If Sacramento St. wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution. Spread and total markets are logically sound. Cancellation handling not specified.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to Idaho State Bengals or Sacramento State Hornets based on winner. Spread markets resolve based on margin (2+ points for -1.5 favorite). Total markets resolve Over/Under based on combined score thresholds (161+ for 160.5 line, 160+ for 159.5 line). Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50 across all markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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