TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Idaho State Bengals and Idaho Vandals scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Idaho win and Idaho State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent across moneyline, spread, and total categories.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken - it resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Polymarket's markets are safe to trade. Confirm Kalshi's actual market terms before any execution, as this may indicate a source data error.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market resolves to Yes if Idaho wins AND Yes if Idaho State wins. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. Quote: 'If Idaho wins...then Yes' and 'If Idaho St. wins...then Yes'.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Idaho State Bengals' if Idaho State wins or 'Idaho Vandals' if Idaho wins - mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets (-5.5, -6.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total markets (O/U 146.5, 147.5) resolve based on combined points. All logic is consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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