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402,751

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30,217

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2,632

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5

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Idaho State Bengals vs. Idaho Vandals
kalshi
polymarket

Idaho State Bengals vs. Idaho Vandals

Volume:
$88,220

Idaho

 - Kalshi

Idaho - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Idaho

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,556
N/A
N/A
$19,335
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Idaho St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,914
N/A
N/A
$11,379
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,592
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,346
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 147.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$361
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 146.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$223
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Idaho State Bengals vs. Idaho Vandals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,228
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Idaho State Bengals and Idaho Vandals scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points scored.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Idaho win and Idaho State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent across moneyline, spread, and total categories.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market logic is broken - it resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Polymarket's markets are safe to trade. Confirm Kalshi's actual market terms before any execution, as this may indicate a source data error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes if Idaho wins AND Yes if Idaho State wins. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market. Quote: 'If Idaho wins...then Yes' and 'If Idaho St. wins...then Yes'.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Idaho State Bengals' if Idaho State wins or 'Idaho Vandals' if Idaho wins - mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread markets (-5.5, -6.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total markets (O/U 146.5, 147.5) resolve based on combined points. All logic is consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.