TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 20 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides complete market specifications for moneyline, multiple over/under totals, and spread betting with detailed resolution rules. Kalshi's market description is incomplete and logically contradictory—it states that the market resolves to Yes if EITHER team wins, which makes the market unresolvable as a binary outcome.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's market as described. The resolution logic 'Yes if TOR wins OR Yes if CAR wins' means the market always resolves Yes regardless of outcome, making it fundamentally broken. Polymarket's markets are fully specified and resolvable. If you have exposure on Kalshi, seek clarification from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket provides five distinct, fully-specified markets covering moneyline (Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs), three over/under totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals), and spread (-1.5 Hurricanes). Each market includes detailed resolution rules, postponement handling, cancellation clauses (50-50 resolution), and shootout scoring adjustments. Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Hurricanes and Maple Leafs combine to score 6 or more goals in this game.'Kalshi:
Outlier (logically contradictory): Kalshi's market states 'If TOR Maple Leafs wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If CAR Hurricanes wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both possible outcomes resolve to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and is unresolvable as a binary bet. No postponement, cancellation, or edge-case handling is specified.
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