TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Houston Dynamo vs. Chicago Fire FC
kalshi
polymarket

Houston Dynamo vs. Chicago Fire FC

Volume:
$133,380

Houston wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Houston wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 22, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Houston wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
$649
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago Fire wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$399
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago Fire wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,270
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,663
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Houston Dynamo vs. Chicago Fire FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,707
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the Houston Dynamo vs. Chicago Fire FC MLS match scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: Kalshi offers goal-differential markets (>1.5 and >2.5 goal margins for both teams), while Polymarket offers binary win/loss/draw markets. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market scope divergence: Kalshi markets measure goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals), while Polymarket markets measure binary match outcomes (Win/Loss/Draw). These are complementary rather than contradictory, but they resolve on different criteria.Hero tip: Kalshi and Polymarket are measuring different aspects of the same match. A Kalshi >1.5 goal margin market and a Polymarket Win market will both resolve YES for a 2-0 victory, but a 1-0 victory resolves YES only on Polymarket. Cross-platform arbitrage is possible if margin probabilities diverge from win probabilities. Verify which market type matches your prediction before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four goal-differential markets: Houston >2.5 goals, Houston >1.5 goals, Chicago >1.5 goals, Chicago >2.5 goals. Each resolves YES if the specified team wins by the specified margin or greater. Key Quote: 'If Houston wins by more than 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary outcome markets: Houston Win (YES/NO), Chicago Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO). Each resolves based on match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If Houston Dynamo wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.