TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Houston Cougars and Kansas Jayhawks scheduled for February 23, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline outcomes, point spread variations, and over/under total points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Kansas win and Houston win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until this error is corrected. The market cannot resolve properly as currently written. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all logically sound and represent the true betting opportunities for this game.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains fatal logical error: both 'If Kansas wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes' create an impossible resolution state. No mechanism exists to distinguish between the two outcomes.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Houston Cougars' if Houston wins or 'Kansas Jayhawks' if Kansas wins - logically consistent. Spread markets use standard threshold logic: -2.5 spread requires 3+ point Houston win, -1.5 spread requires 2+ point Houston win. Over/Under markets resolve Over at 139+ combined points (138.5 line) or 138+ combined points (137.5 line). All markets remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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