TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Houston Christian Huskies and New Orleans Privateers scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (New Orleans favored by 3.5–4.5 points), and total points (over/under 141.5–142.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (New Orleans win and Houston Christian win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable and unable to differentiate between winners.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It is broken. Use Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets instead, which all follow consistent logic: determine the final score including overtime, apply the relevant threshold or comparison, and resolve accordingly. For cancellations with no makeup game, both platforms resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market resolves to Yes regardless of winner. Both 'New Orleans wins' and 'Houston Christian wins' map to Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to the actual winner: Houston Christian Huskies or New Orleans Privateers. Spread and total markets use consistent thresholds (spread: 4+ or 5+ point margin; totals: 142+ or 143+ combined points). All include overtime and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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