TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Charlotte Hornets and Portland Trail Blazers scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, team and player over/unders for points/rebounds/assists, and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets measure individual team point totals in isolation without outcome determination logic, while Polymarket markets resolve on game winner, spreads, combined totals, and player props with full edge-case coverage. Kalshi lacks cancellation/postponement rules and relies on implicit external reference to final score.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's 18 point-threshold markets are valid but incomplete as standalone instruments—they require manual cross-reference to the official final box score to determine win/loss. Polymarket's 26 markets are fully self-contained with explicit cancellation rules (50-50 if canceled, remains open if postponed). For operational efficiency and dispute avoidance, prioritize Polymarket positions. If trading Kalshi, document the final box score from NBA.com immediately after game conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
18 markets on Portland and Charlotte individual point totals (e.g., Portland Above 100.5, Charlotte Above 105.5). Each resolves Yes if that team's final score exceeds the threshold. No moneyline, spread, or combined total. No explicit cancellation or postponement language. Resolution is outcome-agnostic: both teams could exceed their thresholds, or neither could. Key Quote: 'If the number of points scored by Portland in the Charlotte vs Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 10, 2026 is Above 100.5, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
26 markets covering moneyline (Hornets vs Trail Blazers), spreads (Hornets -3.5, -2.5), combined totals (O/U 226.5–229.5), first-half moneyline and spread, first-half combined total (O/U 110.5), and 15 player props (points, rebounds, assists over/unders). All reference official NBA box score. Explicit rules: if postponed, market remains open; if canceled with no make-up, resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Hornets and Trail Blazers combine to score 230 or more points in this game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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