TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Holy Cross Crusaders and Lehigh Mountain Hawks scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -6.5 and -5.5, and over/under totals at 141.5 and 142.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lehigh win and Holy Cross win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly implements mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The spread and total markets on both platforms use consistent, standard resolution rules (final score including overtime, 50-50 on cancellation with no makeup). These markets are safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Lehigh wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Holy Cross wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No explicit No resolution condition is defined.Polymarket:
Moneyline market states: 'If Holy Cross wins, resolves to Holy Cross Crusaders' AND 'If Lehigh wins, resolves to Lehigh Mountain Hawks'. Outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, with clear 50-50 cancellation clause.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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