TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between High Point Panthers and Arkansas Razorbacks on March 21 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets resolve to YES for any outcome (either team winning), making them logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets resolve to specific outcomes (High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks for the moneyline; Over/Under for totals; specific spread thresholds for spreads), providing clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) — it will resolve YES regardless of outcome, violating basic market logic. Trade only Polymarket's markets, which have proper binary or ternary resolution. Kalshi's spread and total markets are not shown in the source data, so focus all activity on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If High Point wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Arkansas wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both outcomes trigger YES. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If High Point wins the High Point at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins the High Point at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket's moneyline resolves to 'High Point Panthers' if High Point wins, or 'Arkansas Razorbacks' if Arkansas wins — mutually exclusive outcomes. Polymarket's spreads resolve to 'Arkansas Razorbacks' only if Arkansas wins by the specified margin (e.g., 12+ for -11.5), otherwise 'High Point Panthers.' Polymarket's totals resolve to 'Over' if combined score meets or exceeds the threshold, otherwise 'Under.' Quote: 'If the High Point Panthers win, the market will resolve to High Point Panthers. If the Arkansas Razorbacks win, the market will resolve to Arkansas Razorbacks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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