TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Hertha BSC and 1. FC Nürnberg scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Hertha win, Nürnberg win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a non-standard cancellation clause that resolves to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, creating asymmetry with Kalshi's outcome-only resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Monitor for game cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled without rescheduling, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve YES while Kalshi draw market behavior is ambiguous. Request explicit cancellation guidance from Kalshi before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Hertha win YES/NO, Nürnberg win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO. All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'Kalshi:
Three outcome markets presented as conditional statements: Tie resolves YES if tie occurs, Nuremberg resolves YES if Nuremberg wins, Hertha resolves YES if Hertha wins. All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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