TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Miami Heat and Washington Wizards scheduled for April 10 at 7:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either 'Heat' or 'Wizards' accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides detailed, sport-specific resolution rules with clear thresholds, timing, and contingencies for postponement/cancellation. Kalshi's market is fundamentally incomplete and unresolvable: it states 'If Washington wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Miami wins... then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve to Yes with no No resolution path defined.Hero Tip:
Do NOT trade the Kalshi market. It contains a critical logical error that makes it impossible to resolve. If you hold a position on Kalshi, contact support immediately. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be your reference for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (resolvable): Polymarket provides comprehensive, mutually exclusive resolution rules across 138 markets covering moneyline, spreads, over/unders, first-half variants, and player props. Each market has clear thresholds, tie-breaking logic, and contingencies. Example from moneyline: 'If the Heat win, the market will resolve to Heat. If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to Wizards.' Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. All markets are logically sound and independently resolvable.Kalshi:
Outlier (unresolvable): Kalshi's single market contains a fatal logical contradiction. The rules state: 'If Washington wins the Miami at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Miami wins the Miami at Washington professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes (Washington win or Miami win) resolve to Yes, with no defined No resolution path. This violates binary market logic and makes the market impossible to settle.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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