TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 21 at 8:00PM ET: If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution criteria, thresholds, and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation rules), while Kalshi's market definition is incomplete and logically contradictory—it states both 'If Miami wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes', making simultaneous resolution impossible and rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Kalshi's definition violates basic logical consistency (both outcomes cannot resolve YES). Polymarket's 40+ markets are fully specified with clear thresholds, sources (NBA.com official box scores), and contingency rules. Trade only on Polymarket or wait for Kalshi to correct its market definition.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket provides 40+ distinct markets with explicit resolution criteria, thresholds, timing (full game vs. first half), player-specific stat lines, and contingency rules. Core moneyline resolves based on final score including overtime; spreads specify point differentials; over/unders define exact combined-score thresholds; player props reference official NBA.com box scores. Cancellation resolves 50-50; postponement keeps market open. Example: 'This market will resolve to Rockets if the Rockets win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Heat.'Kalshi:
Outlier (logically contradictory and incomplete): Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If Miami wins the Miami at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins the Miami at Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes resolve YES. No resolution source, contingency rules, or tie-breaking logic is provided. The market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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