TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Heat vs. Bucks is an NBA game scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks at Milwaukee. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution logic: official NBA box score, overtime inclusion, postponement handling, cancellation 50-50 split, and player inactivity rules.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Resolves to Heat or Bucks based on which team has the higher final score including all overtime periods
- Spread (Heat -5.5 full game): Resolves Heat if Heat wins by 6+ points; otherwise Bucks. Tie resolves Bucks
- Spread (Heat -6.5 full game): Resolves Heat if Heat wins by 7+ points; otherwise Bucks. Tie resolves Bucks
- Spread (Heat -2.5 first half): Resolves Heat if Heat leads by 3+ points at halftime; otherwise Bucks
- Spread (Heat -3.5 first half): Resolves Heat if Heat leads by 4+ points at halftime; otherwise Bucks
- Totals (full game): Resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (227, 228, 229, or 230 depending on market); otherwise Under
- Totals (first half): Resolves Over if combined first-half score meets or exceeds threshold (117 or 118); otherwise Under
- Player props (points, rebounds, assists): Resolves Yes if player exceeds stated threshold; No if at or below threshold or if player is inactive
- Kalshi spread markets (Milwaukee wins by X+ points or Miami wins by X+ points): Each resolves Yes only if that specific condition is met; otherwise No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolution occurs based on the final score whenever the game is played.
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No, or between two outcomes).
- Spread Tie: If the final margin equals the spread threshold exactly (e.g., Heat wins by exactly 5.5 points on a -5.5 spread), the market resolves to the underdog (Bucks) per Polymarket terms.
- Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all player prop markets for that player resolve No.
- Overtime Inclusion: All scores include any overtime periods played. The entire game result determines resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following the conclusion of the game (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime based on the halftime score only.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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