TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and Cal Poly Mustangs scheduled for February 19, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Hawaii win and Cal Poly win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution logic is internally contradictory—both possible outcomes map to the same resolution state (Yes), which violates basic market logic. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue with coherent resolution rules.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all market. Hawaii win → Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Cal Poly win → Cal Poly Mustangs. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation with no makeup → 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic. Both Hawaii win and Cal Poly win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.