TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs (W)

Volume:
$21,975

Hawai'i

 - Kalshi

Hawai'i - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Hawai'i at Cal Poly Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hawai'i

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,441
0%
0%
$13,004
N/A
polymarket

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Cal Poly Mustangs (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$688
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Cal Poly

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,846
0%
0%
$7,430
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and Cal Poly Mustangs scheduled for February 19, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Hawaii win and Cal Poly win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution logic is internally contradictory—both possible outcomes map to the same resolution state (Yes), which violates basic market logic. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue with coherent resolution rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Hawaii win → Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Cal Poly win → Cal Poly Mustangs. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation with no makeup → 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic. Both Hawaii win and Cal Poly win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. Market cannot distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.