TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Harvard Crimson vs. Yale Bulldogs women's college basketball game scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory—both Harvard win and Yale win resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (Harvard Crimson vs. Yale Bulldogs). These are incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's logic appears to be a documentation error. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a Yes/No binary (in which case it should specify a single outcome) or a categorical market. Until clarified, treat Kalshi as high-risk. Polymarket's structure is standard and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure where both possible game outcomes (Harvard win OR Yale win) resolve to Yes. This is logically contradictory and makes the market unresolvable. Key Quote: 'If Harvard wins...resolves to Yes. If Yale wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Categorical market resolving to either 'Harvard Crimson' or 'Yale Bulldogs' based on final score. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If the Harvard Crimson win, the market will resolve to "Harvard Crimson". If the Yale Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Yale Bulldogs".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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