TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Harvard Crimson and Columbia Lions scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET at Columbia. The market resolves based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable. Both possible game outcomes (Harvard win or Columbia win) map to the same Yes resolution, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket uses proper categorical resolution tied to team identity.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. The resolution rules guarantee Yes regardless of game result, eliminating all predictive value. Use Polymarket exclusively for this matchup, which correctly resolves to the winning team name.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes resolution for all outcomes. Both 'Harvard wins' and 'Columbia wins' resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot settle to No under any game scenario.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution to team name. Resolves to 'Harvard Crimson' if Harvard wins or 'Columbia Lions' if Columbia wins. Includes postponement continuation clause and 50-50 split for full cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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