TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 9:30PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive, detailed resolution rules across 27 markets covering moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, and half-time variants with explicit handling of postponements and cancellations. Kalshi provides only a single binary market that resolves YES if either Memphis or Utah wins, with no resolution logic, no edge case handling, and no source specification, making it fundamentally incomplete and unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as currently specified. The resolution rule 'If Memphis wins...then resolves to Yes. If Utah wins...then resolves to Yes' creates a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are fully specified and tradeable. Clarify Kalshi's intent before placing any bets on that platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Provides 27 distinct, fully-specified markets with explicit resolution thresholds, timing rules, source attribution (NBA.com official box scores), and comprehensive edge case handling. Example: 'This market will resolve to Yes if Cody Williams scores more than 5.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to No if Cody Williams scores 5.5 points or fewer during the game.' All markets include postponement and cancellation protocols (resolve 50-50 if canceled with no make-up).Kalshi:
Outlier: Provides a single market with a logical contradiction in its resolution rule. The stated rule reads: 'If Memphis wins the Memphis at Utah professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah wins the Memphis at Utah professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both possible outcomes (Memphis win or Utah win) resolve to YES, creating an unresolvable market with no NO outcome path and no source specification.
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