TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga match between Girona FC and RC Celta de Vigo scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span three outcome types: Girona win, Celta win, draw, and both teams scoring. All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution asymmetry: the draw market resolves YES on full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. This creates a logical inconsistency where the three mutually exclusive outcomes (Girona win, Celta win, draw) do not all resolve the same way under cancellation.Hero Tip:
Treat the draw market as a cancellation hedge. If you believe cancellation risk is material, the draw market offers asymmetric payoff. For standard trading, assume the match will be played and focus on the core three outcomes. If postponement occurs, all markets remain open until completion—only full cancellation triggers divergent resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Draw Market):
Resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'Polymarket (Girona Win & Celta Win Markets) + Kalshi (Both Teams Scoring):
Resolve NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Kalshi has no explicit cancellation clause, implying NO by absence of YES condition.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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