TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio Serie A match scheduled for March 20, 2026. Markets track whether Genoa leads, Udinese leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends on the official halftime score at the conclusion of the first half.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's single market conflates three mutually exclusive outcomes and assigns all to Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. Polymarket correctly structures three independent binary markets for each outcome. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It cannot resolve correctly. Use Polymarket's three separate markets: Genoa leading at halftime, Udinese leading at halftime, and Draw at halftime. These are logically coherent and mutually exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Single market with three outcomes all resolving to Yes. Logical contradiction: Genoa winner = Yes, Udinese winner = Yes, Tie = Yes. No path to No resolution exists. This violates binary market structure.Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving independently. Genoa leading resolves Yes if Genoa ahead after 45 min + stoppage, else No. Udinese leading resolves Yes if Udinese ahead, else No. Draw resolves Yes if tied, else No. Logically sound and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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