TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC match scheduled for February 17, 2026, with markets tracking the match outcome (win/loss/draw) and goal-scoring behavior. The markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation logic is internally contradictory: the draw market resolves Yes on cancellation while both win markets resolve No, making it impossible for all three markets to have a consistent outcome if the game is canceled with no make-up. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance, creating secondary ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive if cancellation occurs. Request explicit clarification from Polymarket on whether the draw-resolves-Yes rule overrides the win-resolves-No rule, or if cancellation triggers a special resolution code. For Kalshi, treat cancellation as an unresolved edge case and monitor for official guidance before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three linked markets with contradictory cancellation rules. Galatasaray win and Juventus win both state: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.' Draw market states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where all three outcomes cannot coexist.Kalshi:
Both-score market specifies resolution within 90 minutes plus stoppage time but does not address cancellation or postponement scenarios. Implicitly assumes the match will be completed; no fallback resolution rule provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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