TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Turkish Super Lig match between Galatasaray SK and Eyüpspor scheduled for February 13, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes: Galatasaray win, Eyüpspor win, or a draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how a canceled game (with no make-up) resolves. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, while Polymarket applies asymmetric logic: win/loss markets resolve No, but the draw market resolves Yes.Hero Tip:
If you are long the Polymarket draw market and the game is canceled, you win (Yes). If you are long a Polymarket win/loss market and the game is canceled, you lose (No). Kalshi's silence on cancellation creates ambiguity; assume it will follow standard sports betting convention (void or No) unless clarified. Diversify across platforms only if you have high confidence in game completion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
All three outcome markets (Galatasaray win, Eyupspor win, draw) resolve to Yes if the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Galatasaray vs Eyupspor professional Super Lig soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Galatasaray win and Eyupspor win markets resolve No if game is canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up. All three refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win/loss) vs 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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