A men's college basketball game between Furman Paladins and Wofford Terriers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored in this matchup.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Wofford win or Furman win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution criteria are contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and O/U markets as your primary trading venues, as they contain clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Four distinct markets with clear mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Moneyline resolves to Furman Paladins or Wofford Terriers based on winner; (2) Furman -1.5 spread resolves Furman if they win by 2+, else Wofford; (3) O/U 151.5 resolves Over at 152+ combined points, Under below; (4) Wofford -1.5 spread resolves Wofford if they win by 2+, else Furman. All include 50-50 cancellation clause. Source: NCAA.com.
Kalshi:
Binary market states: 'If Wofford wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Furman wins...resolves to Yes'. Both conditions map to the same Yes outcome, creating a tautology where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive game results.
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